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Created Nov 29, 2019 by Friedrich Boeing@boeingMaintainer

fitting new variograms using the up-to-date dwd weather data (here for precipitation)

DWD weather data is downloaded from https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_environment/CDC/observations_germany/climate/daily/more_precip/historical/

A comparison to the precipitation station data stored in /data/stohyd/data/processed/Germany/DWD/pre/pre_1900-2015/ to the new station data showed that some stations changed:

Nr Stations| Old LUT     | New LUT     | Same        | Abandoned   | New Stations 

pre             |5394           |5616             |5380          |14                     |236         
tavg           |1059           |1213              |1055         |4                        |158         
tmax         |1059            |1213             |1055          |4                       |158         
tmin          |1059           |1213             |1055          |4                        |158

However it is unclear which data was used for calculation of the variograms used in the current drought monitor version (status: 2019-11-28).

Calculation of the variogram resulted in the following theoretical variogram parameters (using exponential variogram type)

   nugget        sill       range  Type    Easting   Northing     BIAS     RMSE        r

  0.3199E+00  0.9526E+00  0.6429E+05     2        0.0        0.0   0.0098   0.0009   0.9946

The Old variogram parameters were:

    nugget           sill          range    varTyp

0.2000E+00     0.9014E+00     0.3990E+05         2 

In the graph the new variogram is plotted using new theoretical and experimental variogram data) variogram_new_pre

Interestingly, the old nugget seems to fit the data better. The range is remarkable bigger in the new data. @thober any possible explanations?

Edited Nov 29, 2019 by Friedrich Boeing
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